I kind of agree with most of thatā¦
I asked/inquired on behalf of others because my sole aim was to share with others as that will keep the discussions positive, helpful and straight to the point right? Atleast people onhere will have a setting they can be jolly about as they will see your high yield and be confident in the setting, also that i will learn from it and patch any loopholes in mine. Please tell me how the PM i sent was against my duty as a mod, i also sent it as a normal user excited and wanting to hear what another user had to share, is sending PM not allowed in this forum again? Even PMās asking for help? Maybe this isnāt a big deal to me because Iām always willing to help others and wonāt really make a fuss out of something this petty. For you, maybe thatās not the case and you like to keep your info to yourself. Like i said; your data your rules, i will always encourage you to share though as this community is built on sharing information. I wouldnāt have messaged you if you shared, but allās cool.
Ahah, like @totrashbin01 guessed, it was a miscommunication. Itās always better to reply from the forum directly and not via email from my experience here.
If i had received this, then i will have tried my everything in capacity to help. Iām sure i wouldāve even gone as far as asking Simon, Bjorn, Lars and others for this. Anyways, allās cool. Thank you.
I canāt export bets on tmš bummer!
I know that moderators do not have access to RB data, I just asked for personal reports the same way you shared with me. I will not engage in discussions in any way, as I do not make money from it. I have developed an analysis tool for those who contribute with personal reports in exchange for the results of joint analyses from various members. I consider this to be a fair exchange, but I will consider not posting anything in the community anymore.
Good afternoon rui I have read your contributions to the community which I see very valuable, if you want me to share data contido of the 7200 bets that I have made since July 2022, with 21,000 ā¬ profit.
Please contact me by email jmvaquerop@gmail.com
We will be able to discuss adjustments for sports and thus improve both our systems.
Best regards.
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Interesting post. I guess I tend to agree that with deep analysis and significant sample (I donāt know your sample size and the kind stat analysis you ran), there must be some ways to dissect and get some granularity on where youād have more or less value. But the question is really: is the sample size analysed sufficient. Given the fact you seem an experienced statistician, I assume you could find some significance before drawing conclusion. Iād be happy to see those results, although I am on basic user, so cannot share my own data in return.
The way I see it:
Typically each (soft) bookie has its own set of rule and business approach: e.g. be sharper on a given sport/market and less on another, apply more or less margin to any bet in general but provide more or less promo to its users ā¦ . Therefore, if RB has a rather āgenericā algorithm to detect value bets (i.e. doensāt differentiate its approach per bookie/sport), then it must be more efficient at some bookies and less efficient at some others, and vice versa depending for example on the sport and market. This means you could spot where RB is better at spotting (and evaluating) a given value margin.
In the end I guess you can approach it from both sides: quantity and quality. One way to compare this is poker (I have been playing a lot back in the days): some people will be more efficient playing volumes but having more waste in their game, while other will play less tables but be more efficient (less waste) while playing less game. The end result is a different paying return per game, but possibly similar return per hour.
Food for thoughts, and purely coming from my guts feeling understanding of whole this after a few years of betting.
In any case, very intresting and thanks for sharing. I like the fact that you took the challenge and will be able to prove her that there is smart ways to bet !
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Bet ninja you bring up a point that I think needs to be addressed and it is the reason I may not be continuing as a product user any longer.
RB needs to provide or look at each bookmaker and each sport they cover with a large sample size to see which sportsbooks and markets provide the best value for each user.
For example, Bet365 and Unibet network are probably the two of the softest networks as I can tell from thousands of bet on Unibet and from other people on here that use 365. However, I have access to other books like DraftKings, BetMGM, and they make limited me and only allow for larger wagers on mainline games where ther appears to be less of an edge.
Not all soft books are the same but we have no data to help us make good decisions. Competitive sites like OddsJam look at these factors over time to help you make better decisions. I have always liked RB but seasoned sports traders need more data or access to it in order to make better decisions going forward.