Mediterranean Generation-X terrestrial born in March 1972. Following Sports since the early 80ties (football, basketball). After hitting the digital age “zodiac” (“nickname” unpopular while different, thinking outside the box) began to follow US Sports and became addicted to MLB and NFL. The love for sports combined with a diploma in Data Science drew into sports-investing. Decided to start investing in Sports in early 2019 after paper-investing for 4 years prior to that.

Being successful in sports-investing involves a multitude of factors. You’re blessed if you possess a natural-talent and experience. Moreover, there’s also data science. Combined, eyeballs and math are the foundation of success while investing in sports. However, it is always more art than science, which distinguishes novice handicappers and straight data geeks from the first. Expected outcomes don’t make it into my portfolio.

MLB, NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NFL, NHL & European football (EPL, Serie A, UEFA-CL/EL mostly, only occasionally not near as frequent as US-sports). are the sports/leagues I cover.

I’ve developed, and actively tweak my own odds & probability models using the statistical language R. Those models spit out my compiled odds, which are than evaluated further by me, the human factor which incorporates weighted thresholds and important other factors into the same data. All data within those models is tweaked with the actual results on a weekly basis. I invest in numbers paired with my knowledge in above sports, not in names or must/could or should wins or because a team has freaking Tom Brady in it.

You have to know and understand these sports, teams and match-ups, in both. a present and in a historical sense. The subjective info and Likes do not matter because your LLL’s will only help you at the window if your style is right, if you have a fully developed understanding of the market & numbers, if your overall investment expertise level is adequate and if you’re only using your LLL’s for staking purposes, not side selection.

I wager in between 5 and 10 max. investments every day, since I’ve working models for the aforementioned sports/leagues and my own capping approach for each day. Therefore, the number of match-ups I invest in each day is strategic and based on the total number of investment opportunities, per sport/league, designated to simulate handling the action of the novice caper/investor, which invest in at least one too many of their square sides… The investments I do are data-driven, disciplined, relentless, contrarian and designed for the winning sports investor.

I’ve joined RB to compare my own value investing approach with another one, which doesn’t cover the same sports as I do. My first impressions are positive, however, the value-betting pro isn’t polished and ready to use yet, it still needs a lot of improvement, since the “opponents” are sharp books and time and correct value is money.