The results are likely correct. I was unsure and concerned about the sharp dip (relative to the previous progress).
I seem to have turned a corner this weekend.
I have also implemented a strategy to use RB bet + live market or under/over market at <1.07. I’ve used this strategy for over 100 bets (? want to get excel data from RB if possible to dig further) The <1.07 bet is not the losing bet but gives extra odds. It looks like I’m basically gambling (which we are). I’m hoping to keep off bookie radar and not get stake restricted (I have limited soft bookies remaining after matched betting).
Although many purist Value Better won’t like this strategy I’m personally looking to optimize each bets further. As a Starter subscriber for 2 month, I’m is limit to 7% value bets. At the moment my RB + 1.0X system seems to be working. My ‘base’ bet is the RB bet + 1.01 - 1.07 combo. I don’t do it all the time. I stick with the RB recommended bet size giving me better odds, similar edge (as the tiny odds are are not significant) and they haven’t lost v’s RB selection. If my ‘extra’ bet was losing I would stop this strategy, but it has not happened yet.
Anyway, that is my story this year. If you want to paper trade it go ahead, or just try it out. I’ve tried a 2 x RB combination at < 2.0, these don’t work too often, only tried a few. But hey, perhaps variance will help you if you have a bigger bankroll.
Value ‘combination’ bets I think is the way to go.
Along with the data the has been provided, which is great, overlaying other data would be good. Key to this game is bet volume - big volume to make minimize variance swings, with the theory value betting works. This is demonstrated by the ‘members trend’ - thousands of bets.
Hoping everyone has a profitable March. I’m just looking to break, and stay above the 1000 bucks RIO, I’m seem resistance that level… Hopefully when that resistance is broken it is to the moon…