Mate…we all like to bleat when we are down. Most keep quite when they are up, because they dont want to “spook” the good run
You will not come across anyone at all that does not encounter bad runs…it is VALUE BETTING…not SURE BETTING/MATCHED BETTING…so your risk -reward is greater.
I know about bad months coz I’ve had them before and in the long run I was up lol
But I took a break and started again and I’m down straight away so just wanted to double check it was a normal bad month
Eugenio_servidio: Your settings are good. Are you betting on everything?
I did recently start noting down my bets in excel and filtering them. My conclusions were that only soccer and esports are beneficial atm lol if anyone finds that interesting. I only had a 150 ish data sample though
However if you only bet soccer and esports at the moment then when you will you know that the others sports are back to being profitable lol I guess you could log them without betting on them but the current bet recording system is so crap its hard to even analyse them when you do log them anyway. Although I havent seen what the new export feature results will look like
Only way is to log them yourself at the moment
Happy to give an example of some of my data if anyone wants to see
Do you have individual CLV for each bet? Maybe the minimum value threshold needs to be raised for certain sports. For example, maybe blindly betting on basketball at 3%+ EV is unprofitable… but maybe at 6%+ it is profitable. Those sorts of insights might be useful, although the sample may be too small to draw any meaningful conclusions
I started , very skeptically, betting on Sure Bets on Monday. Im gubbed on most accounts so only able to do limited amounts of bets…and jam currently showing + £63.89! No risk…so if we could all make this every week…then subscriptions are covered so Value Betting will be “free”…so I am thinking its a good move after all. I realise at the moment Im probably in the minority- but if I can make it work --being gubbed and banned …it should be so much easier for others not so restricted. so yeah
No I dont have CLV for each bet. I only noted down all the bets I took and filtered by sport and win/lose. Only football and Esports were in the positive.
Yes you’re correct. Depending on your winning percentage. You would need to level that out with the correct odds. For example 1.4 odds with 70 win ratio would make you break even
Perhaps the winners have different stats and avoiding specific sports
Would it be possible to add a multiple tick box for deleting bets in the tracker? I have wanted to start over twice now and spend a good hour deleting bets one by one T_T
Even taking the lazy approach maybe just a delete all button would greatly help