Hello everybody,
So I am quite new around here (650 bets, about 2.5 weeks) and I only bet on BetInAsia and Sportmarket. Those of you who use those know that they are a somewhat painful to bet on, because you need to be fast and many times the odds are either wrong or there is no liquidity on the market. So from the bets that turn up in RB, I only get to make about 40-50%. Those two are the only legal option in my country, so that’s what I will deal with. On the other hand, I don’t have to be stressed about bookmakers closing my accounts and getting limited and so on - which is nice as well.
So within those 650 bets I have, there are now a good 110 Pro bets - yes, I made all of those yesterday. I wasn’t making money before (yield and ROI are negative), though EV would be at 3.81% - and my downswing has continued so far.
There’s two things I noticed:
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I do get a lot more bets. I broke my record in number of bets per day by more than double on the first day
The “quality” (meaning the amount of bets I actually get to make) is still the same.
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my average odds have significantly increased, from 1.88 to 1.98 (and going). My settings remain unchanged (odds from 1.1 to 2.8), but I rarely get bets with odds below 2.0 now. This obviously has an effect on variance and the downswing has taken up speed
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My time to start filter is set to 100h, because otherwise I don’t get enough bets. RB says they don’t see any statistically relevant correlation between yield and time to start, so I don’t worry. However, I do have the feeling (and this is a subjective feeling without proof) that the pro bets tend do be further in the future than the starter ones.
What are your experiences so far?