Hi, i want to share my 1800+ bet result since i will no longer tracking all my bets (i got limited on 3 best bookies available for me, and its time consuming)
So i will think to re-register again using different ID on vps
Looking at my rebel subs expiry, its still have 11 days, so this graph is my 20 days of hard work (the first day i do about 100 bet but i not record on the logbook)
I will now try to breakdown the data by the odds and the EV percentage value, hope this data will support this community
EV negative - 2% (average 1%):
sample size: 143
Total turnover $853 (expected ROI $8.53)
Real ROI: $220
Basically, I am not taking any trade below 2%, but sometimes when i click the bet button, the odds shift and i still place the trade for fun.
EV 2.01%-4% (average 2.87%):
sample size: 924
total turnover: $8616 (expected ROI $247)
Real ROI: $193.9
This is the most trade level i usually take
EV 4.01%-8% (average 5.43%):
sample size: 536
total turnover: $6527 (expected ROI $354)
Real ROI: $378
I take this trade prior 6hrs to kick off
EV 8.01%+++ (average 9.84%):
sample size: 109
total turnover: $1427 (expected ROI $139)
Real ROI: $164
same as above, i usually take this trade prior 6 hours to kick off, but last few days, i have widen my filter to 0.5 days. So last few days, i took 8%+ trade prior to 12hours before kick off
Odds 1.2-1.5 (average ROI 3.27%):
sample size: 253
total turnover: $3039 (expected ROI $99)
Real ROI: $54
Odds 1.501-2 (average ROI 4%):
sample size: 1006
total turnover: $10.986 (expected ROI $439)
Real ROI: $685
Odds 2.001-3 (average ROI 4.2%):
sample size: 449
total turnover: $3458 (expected ROI $145)
Real ROI: $164
This is still a small sample size, but I hope this data will useful to this community, even for anybody reading this but not yet purchase rebel, just do it. It really works.
