I am value betting for about +2 weeks now and I would like to share my results with you - maybe some of you guys are doing better and I am open for every input
Starting Bankroll: 2000€
Kelly 30% and 1,5 - 2 % Stake
My first days have been great - maybe too great because I got limited at almost every bookie i was betting on. Profit at that point was around 400€
Reality hit me hard and i was losing (small ups, bigger downs) from this point but i think thats normal with just a few hundred bets placed.
I have some years of betting experience and variance is a normal thing.
However, i changed odds to 1,20 - 2,30 at this point and value % to min. 4,50
Sometimes i turn it back to 3% to get more bets. specially during the week or when i have a lot of time to take more bets.
Nearly 1000 bets now but results are not that great… 90% of my bets are placed with bet365 now.
Here are my results. I would be happy if you guys have some tips for me.
Thanks for posting this, it’s an excellent example of keeping discipline, good bankroll management, reflection on past results and going for more volumes before whining about value betting not working. Keep up the good work, curious to see how this evolves in the future
After Season break ( end of May) i bought the Summer sale pro subscription (1 year for the price of 6 months) and i started again with fresh stats and bankroll of 1000€.