Observation regarding 1% or even -ve EV bets

1

I am not technically minded about YIELD, EV,CLV, etc I am only interested in making a PROFIT on a bet.

We’ve all done this, placed a bet and the odds jumped instantly (it happens a lot on 10Bet for me)…
you cringe when youve just bet on -2.58%!!! arghh…but when checking later , you see it WON! A profit is a profit…Ive found this happening a lot …Would it be a catastrophe tearing up the rule book and taking my EV down to 1% and thus increasing the amount of available bets??
Insights form people who have also noticed this , or from experienced Value Betters comments would be most welcome.

2

Catastrophe?! No.
Bad for the profit? Most likely.

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3

How so? If your bet wins at -2.6% or +2.6% a profit is still welcome isnt it? It will be the same amount regardless, as the Teams involved arent playing with the knowledge of their odds movements

4

You’re gonna loose in the long run if you don’t beat the clv and -2.6 isn’t beating clv so any bets like that that win are/is just variance and luck

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5

I agree , and indeed, there is no setting to source -ve EV bets :slight_smile: I was just saying that they can and do still win…but over 10000 bets you would lose

6

Come on Audiman… You know better than this.

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7

Of course :slight_smile: And as I said above, >10000 bets at -CLV will see you in the poor house! And , of course betting at - EV is NOT value betting, its gambling