Hi there,
These are my results of using value betting pro after a good month (32 days).
As you can see above I had a good start but after that I was in a negative spiral for more than 2 weeks. The first of November was my lowest point with a result of -4000€. At that point in time my CLV was almost +5000€ so I was €9000 below EV. It wasn’t always easy to keep the moral high but I knew it was just variance and kept on going. After the 1st of November my results skyrocketed. We went on a huge heater and quickly closed the gap with CLV and even surpassed it. Now the last weekend we regressed a bit but I’m very close to CLV at the moment.
Stats per sport & market:
Bets placed per day:
Settings:
Key thing to note with the settings is that my bankroll is much higher than the €10.000 I use to determine my stakes. This enabled me to keep betting the same stakes during my initial downswing (which allowed us to quickly close the gap whilst being on a heater). Also even with a 10K bankroll I’m already sometimes limited by the max bet that my bookmaker allows me to place. This means that using a higher bankroll would mess with the Kelly staking strategy. On top of this it allows me to place much more bets which reduces variance much faster (e.g. last Saturday I had 160 bets open for 25.000€).
For the real high value bets I sometimes ‘go rogue’ and bet more than the €200 max bet in my settings (although never more than €300).
I also play in a betting shop, so I have to physically be there to place my bets. So it can be long days but I’m avoiding limits this way 