Sport betting in the netherlands hasn’t been allowed till last year. When the market opened for a select number of bookmaker. Which are about 7 at this time.
Before that time i have been betting for years but since word got out that the marked would open up most bookies closed up for dutch customers.
I always made my bets though my own systems and analyses. Finding value that way. But interested to see what results value betting brings without looking at other data.
my setup:
Bookmakers:
for this test i use 3 bookmakers. 2 who are officially available here in Netherlands and 1 who officially isnt allowed.
bet365
unibet
5Dimes
money mangement:
the settings in the software are too aggresive to my liking. when you start out. you should never bet 1.5% of your bankrole. certainly not wil the wild varancy swings. So i wil use 0,5% on every bet. i will keep the kelly staking size to 30%
each bookmaker got € 200,00 bet credit. for each bet i will place a max bet of € 1,00. Once i have profit of € 10,00. I will move up from 0,5% to 1% max stake. So my max bet will be € 2,00.
adjust for open bets is on.
sports:
I have selected all sports. because i want to gather as much data as posssible.
filters:
i have an main filter for unibet and bet365.
odds: 1:40 - 2:50
value 5-20
time to match start 300 hours
hide lower tier (off on monday till thursday, on fiday till sunday)
5 dimes filter
only thing different in this filter is that hide lower tier is always off and values is set from 3-20.
what do i want to find out:
- can this make a profit in the long run?
- is there a difference in performance between value bet pro and value bet starter. does one out perform the other.
when:
this test wil run from oktober 17th till november 17th.
number off bets:
i like to come out between 1.500-2.000 bets during that time. So i need to place a average number off daily bets between 50-66.
