I would like to revisit this topic since I have been experiencing the same phenomenon and the topic remained open. It is also an interesting theoretical question, because the value can disappear over time, since the soft odds will change (most of the time) and once we placed that bet it is a hidden information and will impact our indicators (Yield, ROI etc.).
Let’s say that I have a value bet and the match will start in 8 hours. I play this bet, because there is no “value disappeared” warning message pops up and I feel safe to play this bet. I log it and it will appear in my statistics. What happens if the true odds will change before the match starts and my value bet will not be considered a value bet anymore (but I’ve played the bet already)?
Could it be a solution to play with the time factor and place value bets just before the match starts? It has less probability to “lose it’s value” after I put money on it. On the other hand it requires to stay online and hunt for these last minutes value bets…
All in all if I had 100k bets and certain but relatively high % of these bets disappeared (because the true odds has changed) AFTER I placed these bets that will definitely impact my yield. If had captured these value bets at a time when “value disappeared” warning message shows up, I wouldn’t have played just removed and potentially saved more money.
Hope you understand my point here and please reassure me that you have statistics about this and it is not that concerning