Yes, but this for me is more for simplicity than anything else
I pretty much never actually bet on the games with an EV of less than 3%. If I had it at 1% it was probably just to see how many bets would have been available or whatever. My min-odds are always 1.00 though
If you get a bet that is 1.00 arent you just getting your money back? i dont get it :S
1.10 you bet £1 your return is £1.10 including your stake.
So if you bet 1 at 1.00 odds you just get your stake back :S
It’s just an example, bets at 1.0 doesn’t exist. You’re making a profit of $1 when you bet at odds of 1.1, it’s still profit because you took it with an edge so your expected value is gonna increase with time.
Ye I get you although that that price you would need 10 correct games for 1 and getting 1 wrong out of 9 would put you back to break even T_T
Like Lm10 said, those bets obviously don’t exist.
Even though with 1.1 odds you would need 10 correct games to double your stake, it’s still profitable since the actual probability is greater than the 1.1 at which you place your bet.
Update 29.1.2023
Quite an awful run at the moment. Since my last update in october I’ve made 2500 bets and lost 2500€ with a turnover of around 75k€. I’ll keep betting and hope to turn this around soon
how many bet365 accounts were used for those 2500 bets?
I haven’t bet on bet365 at all since october
Oh, i guess they restricted your accounts? Still, you lasted very long with them. Might we be worth trying out sharp bookies if you haven’t already. Don’t see many people here using them
What bookmakers have you been using then mate?
Paf, Betsafe(and clones), BetAtHome, Veikkaus(Finland only) and 10Bet. It really is quite a struggle to do this without Bet365
Ive never had access to Bet 365—so would disagree that its a complete struggle without them- Ive made about £3500 since last May , being cautious…but I guess it would have been much better had I got access to B365.
however, the last couple of days have sucked…never seen so much red since I started. I do intend to ride it out though, because I know it is unlikely to last …( or at least I hope not! )
Well, a real struggle compared to using bet365 I would say. I think for most bettors here 60-80% of the profits come from bet365
Ive got a lifelong ban on Bet 365 and Betfair, and tried to get my wife accounts but they extended the ban to her too! Its actually very unfair and would seem a human rights issue, but obviously not one I am bothered to pursue…on another note, my graph has started to head up again , after several days heading South! Ive been value betting long enough now to realise downturns dont last forever
What are your experiences with BetAtHome? How many bets are there per day, and have you faced any limits there?
If you’re active you can definitely get anywhere from 15-40 bets a day there, depending on the day of the week. I haven’t got limited yet
Hi I’m new to value betting but have been arb trading for a while. I’m interested in everyone results using unibet only for value betting… has anyone got some medium/long term results on unibet only?
Unibet limited me after 3 weeks.
There are lots of bets on Unibet but the stake is limited from the beginning (even before the accounts get limited) to around 20-100€.
After a few weeks and/or about 300-600€ profit the account gets limited.