Hi all that’s my graph I started the 28th of December, as you can see I have only had downswing so far and never been in profit. I am a pro user and I mainly place bets on 10bet leovegas and Smarkets. My starting bankroll is 4k. I am about to lose my faith in the system, I keep grinding meanwhile but its hard when you see almost half of your bankroll gone! Any help is appreciated. Do you think that it’s just bad variance? I have increased the max odds in my settings because most of the bets on smarkets are AH with high odds, smarkets is the only winning bookie atm
try betting opposite of what it suggests… I am trying different stuffs this seems to work for me
XD hhahahhahaha is that true?
Show us your settings
i do it in my own excel sheet… right now the data is not enough to hold my statement… once i get 1000 bets i will update with screenshots
settings i use
3% max stake
30% kelly
value min 2, max 99
odds 1.4 to 4
time to start - 24 hours
i just keep testing some crazy ideas … so please dont blame me for any negative results. better test for 1000 bets before you decide
I am a little bit worried, cause yesterday was my worst day ever… but I still trust the system.
ok guys after a week of tests i started with 500 euros.
Those are my stats in second day with 40 unsettled bets waiting for.
I am too lucky or is it my idea?
i thing your settings should be changed i can show u my own if u want.
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This is also an example of how the variance is larger in the beginning. You’re neither lucky or unlucky, this is perfectly normal 
I would change the settings to lower the max-odds a lot, and raise the min-value to like 3%. Like I would bet your 9.0-oddsers with 0.8% value have negative value.
anyone know how to delete all matches ? or reset the tracker ?
Can you show us?
My started bankroll is 500euros i update every 2-3 days my current bankroll depending on open bets. Also i got on basis 40 bets waiting for the next day from the day before. I experienced varience like 3-4 times but eventually everything went as people say yield and ev get close to each other.
Show us your settings
Your odds are too high bro
the odds are a bit too high i would say, take odds 1.4 to 2.80 and take minimum 4% value bets and time till match start 36hrs and round your stake like 10£ /15£/25£ or use a flat stake of 10/15£. Stop using random stakes like 8£ or 23£ or 11£.
Try this for the next 500bets and see how it goes. Good luck bro!
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Hey mate, any experience with dafabet in particular? I will appreciate if can share your results/strategy/experience on sharps
sorry, i dont have dafabet in UK…i’ve used betfair and smarkets just to bet on football but i could not find any edge with the sharps so i stopped using them cuz i would place maybe 10 bets a month. This is the number of bets the the software would typically generate. Maybe if i would place value bets on everything i would have had more bets but i ilke to bet just on football.
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Generally betting on sharps using the software only without any skill is really hard, i feel like the software should just serve as a buffer/extra edge or something. Seems like I’m gonna be multi accounting for the time being (probably a whole year😅my accounts usually last for a month on softs)
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