Update: value betting on sharp bookmakers

Any update? Have sharps been profitable lately?

If I am not wrong, there is a commission on Sportmarket for every bet on every bookmaker.

whereas BiA or Vodds is free. How is yield % different?
Also, which bookmakers do we place bets on via Sportmarket?

No, the commission is only for Betfair bets.

Been using Pro version for almost a month and it’s so hard to get those odds on sharps that you get notified. Not sure if it’s worth the cost as Betfair seems to be -EV and their odds are also almost impossible to get into.

Do you have any new update for pinnacle?

Pinnacle is around -3% yield, proving they are among, if not THE sharpest around.

Any Update @Simon ??

In the last 12 months only Smarkets is delivering positive yield. But many sharps have too few bets to draw any conclusions.

Smarkets CLV 2.3% Yield 2.78% Flat 3.03% (16k bets)

Unless something dramatic happens, Pinnacle will continue to be the sharpest bookmaker out there and is not recommended to value bet on.

2 Likes

Any Update @Simon ?

Sportmarket is good ?
I was restricted by B365 and wanted to register at Sportmarket

Is asia connect a sharp?

Hey @Simon, can you share the latest stats with the sharp bookmakers?

1 Like

Stats from previous 6 months. Only sharps with more than 6000 bets placed.

image

Seems some of you have found profitable strategies here, well done! :smiley:

2 Likes

Do you use all sports and types of bets? or do you have some spatial configuration for each bookie?

Thanks for this, fascinating! Would it be possible to break this down further, and show, say, the sports yields for each of these? We might be able to work out where the exchange markets are genuinely ‘soft’.

Is the value calculated after commission or before?

Value calculation adjusts for commission (so, value is calculated after and you don’t have to think about it).

Okay thank you

2 posts were split to a new topic: Smarkets commission

Ok with the results from sharp books…seems really great…but is there serious traffic in terms of bets every day? This 6k bets is from one person? The actual yield means the real profit? Cause the 5% in betinasia sounds insane good

These are the type of questions Simon should be answering…

Simon,

Can you present us with the data from average valuebetting % divided by sports and type of bets?

Some people like me would like to get in Rebelbetting and pay for the subscription but cannot do so without access to more information. I can only access Sharp Bookmakers so there’s no reason to buy a subscription before having more data to make my process work.