It’s not just one person betting but many hundreds.
The large difference between CLV and yield (on BetInAsia in particular) is a bit strange, I haven’t analyzed why. Using a good Kelly strategy is one reason, but cannot explain everything.
Betting on sharps seems to be getting more profitable again, which is great. But as always, just know that it’s more difficult.
Any updates betting on sharp bookmakers. Below is picture of my BetInAsia bets. Left most column is the value of the bet when it is set and in the table they are realised average CLV. As you can see CLV is negative in most odds and I really don’t understand why is it so. Any suggestions how to improve?
Why are these outcomes so wide? Like median low is negative, median high would have been pretty positive. Can this simply be explained by variance? You would say on 10k bets it should about average out more? NO?
Also you say only the sharps with positive yield are posted. So in reality it’s way worse? So value betting at sharps with a scanner like this is a negative yielding strategy?