Since about a month I have been betting on sharps (through Sportmarket and BetInAsia Brokers). Settings are 30% Kelly, max 3%, 2-20% value, 1.2-2.5 odds (was 3.2, but I tried to reduce variance). Time to start is 48h, otherwise I would not get more than 10 bets in per day. The closer the game the more unlikely that the odds still create some value.
I know that betting on sharps is not as profitable as with softs, but EV still says 4.5%. I am eagerly awating closing line EV in order to see what the actual numbers are.
Soccer is the only sport, and Asian handicap is the only bet type that are profitable. Hockey is currently paused due to the DNB issue discussed in another thread. Also, I lost some money with some bets on bet-at-home very early on, after which I only had sharps left. I would be around 0 profit without those.
