After doing 800 valuebets on Over/Under bets it still is the only category that is well in the negative and that is with the best CLV out of all of them.
I mostly bet on soccer and basketball O/U and take pretty much all kinds of odds from 1.5-2.5.
From the mostly negative experience with O/U it almost seems this category varies too wildly for the value to be somewhat correct. It slowly feels like even with an odd of 1.9 and a value of 8% i’m at a disadvantage on a coin flip bet.
Do any of you have experience or tips from your own O/U valuebets over the years.